SOCii Research — Defence & security
AUKUS at Scale: An Independent Ledger of Australia's Largest Defence Commitment
What is known, what is disclosed, and what Australians still cannot see about the AUKUS partnership.
AUKUS is the largest single defence undertaking in Australia's modern history. The volume of disclosure does not match the volume of expenditure. This report frames what has been publicly committed, where the disclosure record is thin, and how independent researchers can maintain a durable ledger across political cycles.
Why this report exists
AUKUS will outlast every government that announces a phase of it. The public deserves a non-partisan, durable record of what has been committed and what remains unknown — not a press cycle of disconnected announcements. SOCii publishes this ledger so that the program can be followed across decades, not news weeks.
What is on the public record
Headline cost envelopes and broad pillar definitions; the optimal-pathway joint statement; phased Virginia-class transfer assumptions; the SSN-AUKUS construction line in Adelaide; AUKUS Pillar II technology categories; force-posture initiatives related to US and UK rotations.
Each of these is well-documented in official statements. They are reproduced in the ledger with citations so that no single reader has to assemble them from scratch.
What is not on the public record
Detailed sustainment cost curves; sovereign workforce build-up assumptions and risks; nuclear regulatory architecture and timelines; disposal and decommissioning provisions; force-posture cost-share and basing arrangements beyond the published initiatives; contingency planning if US or UK industrial-base milestones slip.
These are where the public-interest scrutiny needs to be sustained. The ledger flags them as open questions and updates as new material is published.
How to use the ledger
This ledger is structured as a standing, source-cited reference rather than commentary. Journalists, researchers and parliamentary staff are encouraged to use it as a baseline; corrections and additions are welcomed through the public contact channel.
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